TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the second half of an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point margin threshold, allowing participants to assess the relative performance of the teams during the latter portion of the contest.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of the game, excluding any overtime periods. If Houston wins the second half by exceeding the specified point margin, the corresponding 'Yes' outcome is triggered for markets 1 through 16. Conversely, if Oregon State wins the second half by exceeding the designated margin, the respective 'Yes' outcome applies for markets 17 through 23. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original schedule, all active markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from initial sportsbook lines which are often set by experts. Sportsbooks may initially incorporate biases or react quickly to news, while this market allows a broader range of participants to weigh in. It's common to see this market converge towards a more accurate prediction as more information becomes available and more traders participate. However, sportsbook odds are readily accessible and provide a useful benchmark for comparison, and discrepancies can sometimes present arbitrage opportunities for informed traders.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second half of the Oregon State vs Houston game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Successful contracts will be those that accurately predicted the actual spread. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the settlement of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries to key players on either the Oregon State or Houston teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations. Unexpected in-game developments during the first half could also foreshadow potential second-half performance, influencing traders' decisions.