TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Orange County and Sacramento Republic will be closely watched for its scoring intensity. Fans and analysts will be keen to see if the combined performance of both teams leads to a high-scoring encounter or a more defensive battle.
The event determines whether a specified number of goals are scored in the Orange County vs Sacramento Republic professional USL Championship soccer game scheduled for September 5, 2026. The outcome is based solely on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. If the total goals exceed the threshold specified (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5), the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same timing and scoring conditions, differing only in the goal threshold.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of that outcome will decrease, representing higher implied probability. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before substantial betting activity occurs in either venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the prices for contracts representing different total goal outcomes. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their expectations, creating a dynamic market price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. This creates a real-time assessment of the potential for different goal totals in the Orange County vs Sacramento Republic match.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Orange County vs Sacramento Republic match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league or organization. Traders will be able to see the final outcome reflected in their account balances on Kalshi once the event is officially concluded and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Orange County or Sacramento Republic would likely cause movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also impact expectations about the number of goals scored. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from soccer experts and any significant shifts in public sentiment could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market.