TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 12:35 AM EST
Kalshi
This group forecasts the exact final score of a USL Championship soccer match between Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights. The markets specify resolution based on the score at the end of regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time), excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
In the upcoming USL Championship game between Orange County SC and Las Vegas Lights, scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Orange County SC vs. Las Vegas Lights match originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Orange County vs Las Vegas Lights USL Championship soccer match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market defines a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi is not officially affiliated with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates predictions from individuals with varying levels of knowledge. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly deviates from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. It’s important to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of potential outcomes for the Orange County SC vs. Las Vegas Lights match.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket currently favors Exact Score: Orange County SC 0 - 0 Las Vegas Lights? at 98%, while Kalshi does not have a leading outcome reported. These differences can also arise from varying levels of information available to traders on each platform, or simply differing interpretations of the same information. Lower volume on Kalshi can also contribute to wider price spreads and greater potential for divergence.