TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Operário Ferroviário EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Operário Ferroviário EC and Grêmio Novorizontino, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Operário Ferroviário EC vs. Grêmio Novorizontino match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. On Polymarket, prices adjust continuously as participants buy and sell shares based on new developments, team news, or injury reports. Sportsbooks typically adjust less frequently and build in margins for profit, whereas prediction markets are driven purely by supply and demand. This market may show different implied probabilities than what you'd find at a conventional sportsbook, particularly as match day approaches. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's collective judgment differs from professional bookmakers' assessments.
On Polymarket, traders set prices by buying and selling shares representing each possible exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market uses an automated market maker mechanism where the cost of shares adjusts based on the ratio of buys to sells, ensuring continuous liquidity. Each outcome's price reflects the implied probability that traders assign to it occurring. As new information surfaces—team lineups, weather conditions, or pre-match analysis—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift. The most heavily traded outcomes typically show tighter spreads and deeper liquidity, making them easier to enter and exit at competitive prices.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the match between Operário Ferroviário EC and Grêmio Novorizontino concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regulation time, with no ambiguity about which team won or the precise goal tally. Resolution occurs after official confirmation from the league or match authorities, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed. Traders holding shares in the correct final score receive their winnings proportional to their position size.
Team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes can significantly shift odds as traders reassess each outcome's likelihood. Pre-match analysis, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity often trigger price movements in the days leading up to kickoff. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and recent form updates also influence trader positioning. Social media trends and mainstream sports coverage can amplify volatility if they highlight unexpected factors. As match day approaches, late-breaking developments—such as last-minute roster decisions or tactical announcements—typically drive the most dramatic repricing. Real-time events during the match itself will cause final adjustments until the whistle blows.