TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ontario Honda Dealers Indy Markham: Race Winner
kalshi
polymarket

Ontario Honda Dealers Indy Markham: Race Winner

Volume:
$1,139,841

Kyle Kirkwood

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 23, 2026

Closed: Aug 23, 6:39 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyle Kirkwood

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$140,504
N/A
N/A
$82,979
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyle Kirkwood

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marcus Ericsson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Marcus Ericsson

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$55,198
N/A
N/A
$45,577
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Palou

View
0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136,747
N/A
N/A
$85,413
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Palou

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$91,282
N/A
N/A
$68,972
Settled
No
polymarket

Scott McLaughlin

View
0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$85,007
N/A
N/A
$66,376
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Lundgaard

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$83,890
N/A
N/A
$68,883
Settled
No
polymarket

Josef Newgarden

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Will Power

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$61,869
N/A
N/A
$53,033
Settled
No
polymarket

Will Power

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

David Malukas

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58,145
N/A
N/A
$46,863
Settled
No
polymarket

David Malukas

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$47,563
N/A
N/A
$36,033
Settled
No
polymarket

Christian Rasmussen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Pato O’Ward

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39,220
N/A
N/A
$31,888
Settled
No
polymarket

Patricio O'Ward

View
0%
18%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$38,443
N/A
N/A
$36,926
Settled
No
polymarket

Felix Rosenqvist

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Scott Dixon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37,420
N/A
N/A
$32,965
Settled
No
polymarket

Scott Dixon

View
0%
99%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyffin Simpson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31,449
N/A
N/A
$27,361
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 64

Description

This event group tracks the winner of the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy Markham race scheduled for August 16, 2026. Markets across different platforms resolve based on whether a specific driver finishes in first place in the official IndyCar results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms resolve based on the official IndyCar results for the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy Markham, with consistent treatment of disqualifications, post-race adjustments, and cancellation/rescheduling conditions.Primary resolution logic: Official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and consensus of credible sports news reporting

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves in favor of the driver officially listed in first place in the IndyCar-published Final Race Results
  • Disqualifications or changes after the official results are published do not affect resolution
  • Victory lane ceremony timing does not determine the result
  • If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original date, Polymarket resolves to "Other"

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Race Cancellation/Rescheduling: If the race is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, Polymarket markets resolve to "Other". Kalshi markets do not explicitly mention this condition but would likely follow similar logic based on official race status.
  • Post-Race Disqualifications: Any disqualifications or adjustments made after the publication of the official results do not affect market resolution. Only the results as officially published by IndyCar count.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the publication of the official IndyCar results, typically shortly after the race concludes. Polymarket markets may resolve to "Other" if the race is canceled or rescheduled within 7 days of the original date.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy Markham, scheduled for Aug 16, 2026. If the Ontario Honda Dealers Indy Markham is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Box Score / Final Race Results published by IndyCar following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only IndyCar's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official IndyCar website (indycar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

Kalshi

If Alex Palou finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Josef Newgarden finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If David Malukas finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott McLaughlin finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Felix Rosenqvist finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Ericsson finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pato O’Ward finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mick Schumacher finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyffin Simpson finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Kirkwood finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nolan Siegel finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rinus Veekay finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Santino Ferrucci finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Romain Grosjean finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sting Ray Robb finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Lundgaard finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis Foster finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Dixon finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Graham Rahal finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Will Power finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dennis Hauger finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Christian Rasmussen finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alexander Rossi finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcus Armstrong finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes. If Caio Collet finishes in first in the Main Race at the 2026 Freedom 250 Grand Prix of Washington, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The Indy Markham race winner market dashboard aggregates activity across platforms, showing real-time probabilities and volume for each potential winner. It tracks the collective sentiment of traders on Polymarket and Kalshi, reflecting how market participants price the chances of different drivers taking the victory. This view lets users monitor shifts in expectations as the race approaches, with total volume sitting at $1,139,841 and recent 24-hour volume at $851,792.

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each platform attracts distinct trader bases and may update probabilities at different intervals. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one venue might react faster to a driver’s qualifying position or a technical regulation change, while the other could reflect broader, more conservative sentiment. These differences often highlight how localized information and liquidity conditions shape pricing on each exchange.

Key signals that could shift this market include practice session times, qualifying results, weather forecasts, and any driver or team announcements — such as technical changes or last-minute driver swaps. Injuries, mechanical issues during the race, or even strategic pit-stop decisions can also cause rapid probability swings. Traders watch these developments closely, as each new piece of information reshapes expectations for who will claim victory.