TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 55
- Kalshi
Above 55 - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 7, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The event assesses the critical reception of the film Onslaught by measuring its Tomatometer score on a specific date. Participants can speculate on whether the film's score will surpass various thresholds, reflecting its success in gaining positive reviews from critics.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether the film Onslaught achieves specific Tomatometer score thresholds as determined by Rotten Tomatoes on September 7, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a different score threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' Onslaught's Tomatometer score must strictly exceed the designated threshold on the specified date. For instance, a score of 75 would not satisfy the 'Above 75' market, as the score must be strictly above the threshold. All markets are finalized on the Monday following the film's wide release. It is important to note that Rotten Tomatoes has not endorsed these markets, and any references to the platform are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd sentiment. Analysts may issue scores or ranges based on reviews and pre-release buzz, while traders adjust prices based on evolving opinions, early leaks, and overall hype. If analysts predict a high score, this market might show a higher chance for favorable outcomes, but rapid shifts in public opinion can move odds away from those forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the verified Rotten Tomatoes score is reported by credible public sources. The final number becomes official after the film's premiere and review aggregation, at which point all positions settle automatically based on where the actual score falls in the market’s defined ranges.
Key signals include early reviewer posts, trailer reactions, and any controversy surrounding the film — all can shift trader sentiment. Major social media buzz, press coverage, or unexpected changes to the release schedule may also move this market. As the premiere nears, real-time updates from critics and audience score trends will most strongly influence price swings.
