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$1,423,222,590

402,751

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30,217

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2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

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VS.

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Once Caldas vs. CD Tolima
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Once Caldas vs. CD Tolima?

Volume:
$769,783

Once Caldas

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 9:16 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Once Caldas

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$257,517
N/A
N/A
$138,721
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Once Caldas

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$119,925
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tolima

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$217,265
N/A
N/A
$137,494
Settled
No
polymarket

CD Tolima

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$109,650
N/A
N/A
$71,916
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Once Caldas vs. CD Tolima)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,590
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer match between Once Caldas and CD Tolima. Currently, the consensus probability of Once Caldas winning on August 27, 2026, is 100.0%, while CD Tolima winning has a 0.1% probability, aggregating views from Polymarket and Kalshi. The resolution source for this market is https://dimayor.com.co/. Keep an eye on September 16, 2026, as this is the date Kalshi uses for the match and will determine market settlement.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The platforms specify different dates for the match (August 27th vs. September 16th) and have differing rules for handling complete game cancellations.Hero tip: Monitor for official announcements regarding the game date and cancellation policies. Prioritize markets with higher liquidity to mitigate risk.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the outcome of the game on August 27, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled entirely, the market resolves to 'No'. 'The primary resolution source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.'
  • Kalshi: The market resolves based on the outcome of the game on September 16, 2026, within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It does not explicitly define resolution in the event of a cancellation. 'If Tie is the result... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for Thursday, August 27, 2026 between Once Caldas and CD Tolima.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Once Caldas vs Tolima professional Colombian Liga DIMAYOR soccer game scheduled for September 16, 2026. A market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates the views of many individual traders. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. It’s common to see this market react quickly to new information, such as team injuries or changes in weather, potentially offering a more up-to-date assessment of the likely outcome than traditional odds.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. Each platform has its own user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information related to the Once Caldas vs. Tolima match. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence prices. Furthermore, the liquidity of this market may differ across platforms, impacting how readily prices adjust to new information. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even though both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.