TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC
polymarket
kalshi

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC

Volume:
$5,148,468

Draw (Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC)

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 9, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 3:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Draw (Olympique Lyonnais vs. Paris FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$265,735
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$129,556
N/A
N/A
$67,716
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olympique Lyonnais

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,735,858
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lyon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$555,986
N/A
N/A
$386,707
Settled
No
polymarket

Paris FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$269,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Paris

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192,220
N/A
N/A
$85,089
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Ligue 1 soccer match between Olympique Lyonnais and Paris FC scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered across Polymarket and Kalshi, with separate binary outcomes for Lyon win, Paris win, and draw results.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket's draw market contains a cancellation clause that resolves YES if the game is canceled with no makeup, while Kalshi's three-outcome market structure does not explicitly address cancellation scenarios, creating potential misalignment in edge-case settlement.Hero tip: Traders holding positions across both platforms should request explicit cancellation guidance from Kalshi before March 8, 2026. If a cancellation occurs, Polymarket's draw market will clearly resolve YES, but Kalshi's resolution path is undefined. Consider hedging or clarifying with platform support to avoid settlement ambiguity.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: Lyon win (resolves YES if Lyon wins in 90+stoppage), Draw (resolves YES if draw OR if game canceled with no makeup), Paris win (resolves YES if Paris wins in 90+stoppage). Primary source is official Ligue 1 statistics within 2 hours, fallback to credible reporting consensus. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes.'
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market: each outcome (Paris wins, Lyon wins, Tie) resolves YES based on the match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause stated. Quote: 'If Paris wins... If Lyon wins... If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.