This event group covers a Ligue 1 match between Olympique Lyonnais and OGC Nice scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets span total goals (Over/Under at 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, and 4.5 thresholds), both teams to score, and margin-of-victory outcomes across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi align on the core resolution principle: official final score from ligue1.com, 90 minutes plus stoppage time only, no extra time or penalties. All edge cases (postponement, cancellation, incomplete match) are handled consistently across platforms with explicit fallback rules.
Primary resolution logic:
ligue1.com (official Ligue 1 website)
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the combined or individual goal totals as published by ligue1.com for the match on February 15, 2026
Only goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time count; extra time and penalties are excluded
Polymarket Over/Under markets (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5) resolve Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold plus one (e.g., 2+ for O/U 1.5)
Polymarket Both Teams to Score resolves Yes if both Lyon and Nice each score at least one goal
Kalshi margin markets resolve Yes if the specified team wins by the stated margin (Lyon >1.5, Lyon >2.5, Nice >1.5, Nice >2.5)
If the match is postponed, Polymarket markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled date, Polymarket markets resolve 50-50
If the match begins but does not complete, all markets resolve according to the official final score published on ligue1.com
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and an official final score is published on ligue1.com
Match Cancellation (No Rescheduled Date): Polymarket markets resolve 50-50 (equal payout to both sides). Kalshi follows standard cancellation protocol.
Incomplete Match (Started but Not Finished): All markets resolve according to the official final score as published on ligue1.com, treating the incomplete match as final
Extra Time or Penalties: Goals scored in extra time or during penalty shootouts do not count toward resolution; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time are considered
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and the official final score is published on ligue1.com. For postponed matches, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled match is completed. For canceled matches with no rescheduled date, resolution occurs immediately upon official cancellation announcement.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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