TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC
Volume:
$703,741
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Coupe de France soccer match between Olympique de Marseille and Toulouse FC scheduled for March 4, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. The group includes binary markets for Marseille win, Toulouse win, and draw outcomes.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation protocol divergence: Polymarket explicitly resolves the draw market to Yes if the game is canceled with no make-up, while win markets resolve No. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, creating ambiguity about how all three outcome markets would settle.Hero Tip:
If the game is canceled with no make-up, expect Polymarket draw market to resolve Yes and win markets to resolve No. Kalshi's resolution is unclear; contact support or assume postponement rules apply (market remains open). Hedge accordingly by understanding that cancellation creates asymmetric payouts across platforms.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules. Marseille win and Toulouse win markets resolve No if canceled with no make-up. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no make-up. Postponement keeps markets open. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
- Kalshi: Three binary outcome markets (Marseille win, Tie, Toulouse win) with no explicit cancellation clause. Each resolves Yes if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No guidance on cancellation or postponement. Key Quote: 'If Marseille wins the Marseille vs Toulouse professional Coupe de France soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 4, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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