TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 5:09 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains multiple markets for the Ligue 1 match between Olympique de Marseille and RC Strasbourg Alsace, covering various aspects such as spread betting, over/under totals, and both teams to score.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for August 21 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the Ligue 1 game, scheduled for August 21 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to pay now, often differing from traditional sportsbook lines because they incorporate real-time sentiment and can adjust more quickly. For this market, the implied probabilities may appear sharper or more conservative than standard bookmaker spreads, depending on recent form and public betting trends. The gap can also widen if one platform has heavier volume behind a particular view.
On Polymarket and Predict, pricing models and user bases vary, creating natural divergence. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For instance, one platform might attract more international traders, skewing its odds toward broader sentiment, while the other could reflect local fan bias. Liquidity differences also play a role—lower volume on one venue can amplify small bets, shifting prices more dramatically. These factors combine to produce distinct implied probabilities for the same event.