TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Olympique de Marseille and RC Strasbourg Alsace scheduled for February 14, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket track the outcome of the match (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time windows (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time/penalties) and reference the same match date and teams, with only minor procedural differences in cancellation handling that do not affect standard resolution.
Primary resolution logic:
Ligue 1 official match records (https://www.ligue1.com/)Core resolution logic:
- Match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Marseille win, Strasbourg win, or draw
- Match must be completed on or after the originally scheduled date of February 14, 2026
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the rescheduled match is played and completed
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed. Resolution occurs based on the final result of the rescheduled match.
- Match Cancellation with No Reschedule: Polymarket: win markets resolve to No, draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi: all outcome markets resolve to Yes (indicating indeterminate result). This divergence in cancellation handling is procedural and does not affect normal match resolution.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based solely on the 90-minute regular play plus stoppage time result. If the match goes to extra time or penalties, those results are not considered for market settlement.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes (after 90 minutes plus stoppage time), based on the official Ligue 1 match record. If postponed, resolution is delayed until the rescheduled match is completed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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