This event group covers the Ligue 1 match between Olympique de Marseille and Olympique Lyonnais scheduled for March 1, 2026. Markets span match outcome (win/draw/loss) on Polymarket and total goals scored on Kalshi, all referencing the same fixture and 90-minute regulation period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation resolution logic diverges between Polymarket (explicit but contradictory across outcome types) and Kalshi (absent). Polymarket's draw-market cancellation resolution (Yes) conflicts with win/loss markets (No), creating asymmetric risk. Kalshi provides no fallback for cancellation, leaving total goals markets unresolvable in that scenario.Hero tip: Before match day, confirm with Kalshi whether a canceled match with no makeup resolves total goals markets to No (0 goals scored) or voids them entirely. On Polymarket, note that draw backers have asymmetric upside in cancellation scenarios. Consider this when sizing positions across platforms.

Critical divergence points:

Polymarket: Match outcome markets (OM win, Lyon win, Draw) all reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Win/Loss markets resolve No if canceled with no makeup. Draw market resolves Yes if canceled with no makeup. Key Quote: Win/Loss - 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"'; Draw - 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"'.
Kalshi: Four total goals markets (>1.5, >2.5, >3.5, >4.5) reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Markets reference 'originally scheduled' but lack resolution fallback. Key Quote: 'If Lyon and Marseille collectively score more than X.5 total goals in the Lyon at Marseille professional Ligue 1 soccer game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.'

Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Olympique de Marseille vs. Olympique Lyonnais

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