TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olympique de Marseille vs. AJ Auxerre
Volume:
$885,741
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Ligue 1 professional soccer match between Olympique de Marseille and AJ Auxerre scheduled for March 13, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Marseille win, Auxerre win, draw) and Kalshi (three separate binary contracts covering the same outcomes). All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms use identical time scope (90 minutes plus stoppage time, no extra time or penalties) and resolve on the same three mutually exclusive outcomes with consistent official source hierarchy.
Primary resolution logic:
Ligue 1 official statistics (ligue1.com); credible reporting consensus if official statistics not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope.
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Marseille win, Auxerre win, or draw.
- If match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If match is canceled with no makeup game: Marseille/Auxerre win markets resolve to No; draw market resolves to Yes (Polymarket explicit rule; Kalshi does not address cancellation but implies all three outcomes are possible).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a new date.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket: win markets resolve No, draw resolves Yes. Kalshi: no explicit guidance; assume standard sports market convention where cancellation voids all contracts or resolves based on event organizer determination.
- Official Stats Delay: If Ligue 1 does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match end, resolution uses consensus from credible sports reporting sources.
- Scope Clarity: Resolution is based strictly on 90 minutes plus stoppage time; any result determined in extra time or penalties does not affect market outcome.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official Ligue 1 statistics are published, or within 2 hours post-match if credible reporting consensus is required. Markets remain open if match is postponed.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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