TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 10:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Olympic Dcheira and AS FAR, scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympic Dcheira" if Olympic Dcheira are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS FAR" if AS FAR are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Olympic Dcheira and AS FAR, scheduled for June 18, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Olympic Dcheira" if Olympic Dcheira are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS FAR" if AS FAR are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker margins. On this market, the odds are continuously updated by participants buying and selling shares, whereas sportsbooks adjust lines less frequently and build in a profit margin. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper pricing on niche outcomes like first-goal scenarios, since they aggregate dispersed knowledge from many traders. However, sportsbook odds may move faster around major news or team announcements, so comparing both sources helps identify value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the ratio of shares held for each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing "Olympic Dcheira scores first" or "AS FAR scores first" (or neither team), and the price moves inversely to supply and demand. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all active traders at any given moment. Liquidity pools determine how much slippage occurs on larger trades, so deeper pools allow for tighter spreads and more efficient price discovery on this first-goal outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the match between Olympic Dcheira and AS FAR concludes and the result is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal, or whether neither team scores at all during the match. Resolution occurs after official confirmation of the final scoreline, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their winnings proportional to the final odds at which they entered their positions.
Team news such as injuries to key strikers or defensive players can significantly shift odds, as can lineup announcements closer to match day. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader expectations about which team is more likely to break the deadlock first. Weather conditions and pitch quality may also factor into market repricing, particularly if they favor a defensive or attacking style. Late-breaking tactical changes or managerial statements can trigger sharp moves, and as the match approaches, real-time updates during pre-match coverage often drive final adjustments to this market's odds.