TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen - More Markets
Volume:
$1,913,498
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Champions League match between Olympiakós SFP and Bayer 04 Leverkusen scheduled for February 18, 2026. Markets span match outcome (Kalshi), total goals over/under thresholds (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5), both teams to score, and a spread bet on Olympiakós winning by 2+ goals (all Polymarket).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms align on the 90-minute + stoppage time window, UEFA.com as the official source, and exclusion of extra time and penalties. Minor gaps exist in cancellation and incomplete-match handling.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA.com official final scoreCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window: first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
- Extra time and penalties are excluded from all markets
- Official source: UEFA.com published final score
- Kalshi match outcome (winner or tie) resolves Yes for any result
- Polymarket Over/Under 1.5: Over if 2+ combined goals, Under if 0-1
- Polymarket Over/Under 2.5: Over if 3+ combined goals, Under if 0-2
- Polymarket Over/Under 3.5: Over if 4+ combined goals, Under if 0-3
- Polymarket Over/Under 4.5: Over if 5+ combined goals, Under if 0-4
- Polymarket Both Teams to Score: Yes if each team scores 1+, No if either scores 0
- Polymarket Spread Olympiakós -1.5: Olympiakós wins if margin is 2+, otherwise Leverkusen
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Polymarket: markets remain open until completion. Kalshi: no explicit protocol stated; assume markets remain open pending rescheduled date.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): Polymarket: all markets resolve 50-50. Kalshi: no explicit protocol; recommend treating as void or 50-50 pending platform guidance.
- Match Started but Incomplete: Polymarket: resolves to official UEFA.com final score at time of stoppage. Kalshi: no explicit protocol; recommend resolving to official UEFA.com score at stoppage or voiding pending platform guidance.
- Extra Time or Penalties: All markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalties; resolution is based only on 90 minutes + stoppage time.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on February 18, 2026 (or rescheduled date if postponed), once the official final score is published on UEFA.com.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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