TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)
kalshi

Olivia Rodrigo: Highest daily view count (August 31, 2026 - September 6, 2026)

Volume:
$34,066

Above 4M

 - Kalshi

Above 4M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 8, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 10:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 4M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,556
N/A
N/A
$2,556
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,939
N/A
N/A
$1,936
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,706
N/A
N/A
$1,706
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,531
N/A
N/A
$1,531
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,531
N/A
N/A
$1,531
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5.5M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,331
N/A
N/A
$1,331
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6.5M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,297
N/A
N/A
$1,297
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 7.5M

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,037
N/A
N/A
$5,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.6M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,253
N/A
N/A
$2,364
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.8M

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,803
N/A
N/A
$1,802
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.9M

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,710
N/A
N/A
$1,697
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 8M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,701
N/A
N/A
$1,701
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 7.7M

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,672
N/A
N/A
$1,672
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This event tracks the potential for a popular musical artist to attract exceptionally high viewership on a global platform during a specific week. It focuses on whether the artist's content can achieve various thresholds of daily views, reflecting audience engagement and content virality over a short period.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Olivia Rodrigo attains specified levels of global daily views on YouTube within the period from August 31, 2026, to September 6, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct view count threshold, ranging from above 4 million to above 8 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' Olivia Rodrigo must surpass the respective threshold at least once during the specified week. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address on YouTube Charts, with 'Global' selected as the location filter. It is explicitly stated that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of public sentiment and trader expectations. Analysts may focus on historical performance and promotional schedules, while traders price in real-time information, rumors, and engagement trends. This can lead to divergence, especially if new content or events emerge that shift public interest. Monitoring both sources provides a fuller picture of expectations for peak viewership.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds based on their expectations of when Olivia Rodrigo will achieve the highest daily view count. The top outcome's implied probability is shown as a percentage, reflecting the collective bet of participants. Volume and price movements indicate shifts in confidence, with more trading activity often surrounding key promotional events or releases that could impact viewership numbers.

This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The closing date determines when the highest daily view count is officially recorded, and the market settles based on verified data from the relevant platforms. No further trading or changes are possible after this date, locking in the result for all participants.

Several signals could shift this market before it closes. Major promotional campaigns, surprise content drops, or viral moments involving Olivia Rodrigo may increase trader confidence in certain dates. Conversely, technical issues or lower-than-expected engagement could cause odds to adjust. News about competing entertainment events or changes in audience behavior may also influence trading activity as participants react to new information.