TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
At least 3 days
- Kalshi
At least 3 days - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 1, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
A musician's song achieves the #1 position on Spotify's global daily chart for varying cumulative days throughout June 2026, with multiple thresholds tracking how many days they maintain the top spot during that month.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by the total number of days Olivia Rodrigo holds the #1 position on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global chart during June 2026. Each threshold from 3 days through 30 days represents a separate resolution criterion, with each higher threshold encompassing all lower thresholds. A single day of #1 ranking counts as one chart day toward the total. The measurement period covers the entire calendar month of June 2026.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this event is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the number of days Olivia Rodrigo occupies the #1 spot on Spotify's Daily Top Songs Global during June 2026. Traders buy and sell shares corresponding to specific day-count ranges or exact outcomes. The price of each outcome contract moves based on order flow and market demand, with higher prices indicating stronger trader conviction. Kalshi's order book displays bid-ask spreads and cumulative volume, allowing traders to execute at current market rates or place limit orders for future fills.
The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, after June 2026 concludes and final Spotify Daily Top Songs Global rankings are confirmed. The outcome is determined by counting the total number of calendar days in June 2026 on which Olivia Rodrigo held the #1 position on Spotify's official global chart. Only days where she appears at rank #1 at the time of publication count toward the final tally. Resolution occurs once Spotify's data is finalized and verified against the event's outcome criteria.
Key catalysts include new music releases from Rodrigo or competing artists, streaming performance data published by Spotify or third-party trackers, and chart momentum throughout June. Major promotional events, award show performances, or viral social media moments can drive listener engagement and chart position. Unexpected chart debuts from rival artists may displace Rodrigo from #1, while sustained streaming growth strengthens her odds. Real-time daily chart updates directly influence trader positioning, causing odds to fluctuate as June unfolds. Industry news about Rodrigo's touring, collaborations, or personal announcements can also shift market sentiment.
