TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 2:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of goals scored during the regulation time of a soccer match between Oliveira do Hospital and Sourense. The outcome depends on whether the total goals exceed specific thresholds, providing insight into the match's offensive intensity. It focuses solely on goals scored within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout scenarios.
The event resolves based on whether the total number of goals scored by both teams during the regulation time of the Oliveira do Hospital vs Sourense professional Taca de Portugal soccer match exceeds specified thresholds. Regulation time includes the standard 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes extra time and penalty shootout periods. If the cumulative goals meet or surpass any of the thresholds defined across the multiple markets—ranging from over 0.5 goals to over 5.5 goals—the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Each market operates independently, allowing participants to assess varying levels of offensive output within the same match context. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds adjust dynamically based on real-time trading activity and volume of $1,827, while sportsbooks set fixed odds using their own models and risk assessments. The two can diverge significantly because prediction markets capture crowd-sourced forecasts without institutional bias. For this market, traders are pricing in their expectations for goal frequency based on available information and recent form. Sportsbook odds may incorporate broader market trends and historical averages, often leading to different implied probabilities.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through their bids and offers, which reflect the collective assessment of probability for each possible outcome in regulation time. The current top outcome displayed — whether over or under a certain goal threshold — is determined by where buyer and seller prices meet. Volume and recent trade activity also influence how the market price shifts.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 90 minutes of regulation time will determine whether the over or under threshold has been met, closing the market and paying out all positions based on the pre-set rules.
Several factors could shift this market before Aug 30, 2026. Key team news — such as injuries to top scorers, coaching changes, or suspensions — may alter goal-scoring expectations. Weather conditions or pitch quality on match day can also impact scoring potential. Additionally, early match momentum, yellow or red cards, or tactical decisions by managers often influence total goals. Strong pre-match betting trends on Kalshi could reflect new information and move prices, especially with a current 24-hour volume of $1,827. Any last-minute lineup changes or crowd support levels are also watchable catalysts.