TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 20, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining the winner of a professional soccer match between Olimpia and Vasco da Gama, based solely on the result after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time. It excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts. The market covers the official match scheduled for August 20, 2026, under CONMEBOL Sudamericana competition rules.
The event determines the outcome of the Olimpia versus Vasco da Gama professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match scheduled for August 20, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. If Olimpia wins in regulation time, the 'Olimpia' market resolves to Yes. If Vasco da Gama wins in regulation time, the 'Vasco da Gama' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. In the event the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different risk-reward balance than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate their margin and may weight certain outcomes differently, prediction markets let traders set prices directly based on their expectations. This can lead to sharper or more volatile odds, especially as new information emerges. Traders should compare both to identify potential value, keeping in mind that prediction markets aggregate crowd wisdom without the built-in bookmaker edge.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine prices through continuous bidding and asking, creating a dynamic market curve. The top outcome's current implied probability reflects the collective view of all participants. Liquidity levels, represented by volume of $227,516, influence how tightly packed the bid-ask spreads are. As the match approaches, shifts in trader sentiment or new public data can cause rapid re-pricing, making timing important for entry and exit decisions.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the final score after 90 minutes of regulation play, excluding any extra time or penalties. Once official match reports are published, the platform will finalize the market based on that authoritative record, ensuring a clear and transparent resolution process for all participants.