TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting the outcome of an upcoming soccer match between Olimpia and Rubio Nu, specifically regarding the margin of victory for either team. It evaluates different thresholds for how many goals the winning team must score beyond the opponent to settle the market. The event is based on the official match result after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event centers on the Olimpia vs Rubio Nu professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for August 2, 2026, and resolves based on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds are evaluated: Olimpia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Olimpia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Rubio Nu winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Rubio Nu winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual result meets any of these conditions, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
This market resolves around Aug 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and point differential, which will be compared against the market’s defined spread to settle all positions.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions affecting the game could shift expectations and move this market. Additionally, early goal scoring or significant momentum swings during match play often influence trader sentiment. Media reports on team preparations and performance analytics released close to the match date may also cause price adjustments. As Aug 3, 2026 approaches, any last-minute updates will be closely watched by participants, potentially leading to rapid shifts in market probabilities.