TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:32 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Club Guarani will win a professional soccer match against Olimpia, as determined by the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Club Guarani a 47.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the APF Division de Honor game originally scheduled for September 2, 2026. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the final result following 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine resolution by September 3, 2026.
The event determines the winner of the Olimpia vs Club Guarani professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Olimpia win, Club Guarani win, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On sportsbooks, the Olimpia vs Club Guarani match market typically reflects bookmaker assessments and public betting patterns, often with adjusted margins. In contrast, prediction market odds emerge from trader sentiment and real-time position adjustments, which can diverge due to different participant motivations and risk tolerances. This market mirrors those dynamics, allowing for potentially sharper or more volatile pricing depending on how participants weigh team performance, injuries, and other match-specific factors.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks based on their outlook for the Olimpia vs Club Guarani match outcome. The current top outcome reflects aggregated trader expectations, with the probability indicated by the market price. Volume of $846,852 and recent activity of $772,595 help gauge liquidity and trader interest, while price shifts respond to new information affecting match prospects.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official match conclusion, and traders can expect the market to close promptly after the final whistle, reflecting the definitive game result.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, coaching changes, or disciplinary actions affecting either team’s lineup. Performance in preceding matches, especially against common opponents, can also reshape expectations. Weather forecasts for the match day, stadium conditions, and any last-minute tactical announcements may create short-term volatility. As Sep 3, 2026 approaches, any update that alters the perceived balance of power is likely to drive price adjustments in this market.