TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Olimpia vs Club Guarani
kalshi

Olimpia vs Club Guarani

Volume:
$846,852

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 7:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
69%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$197,490
N/A
N/A
$94,814
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Olimpia

0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$383,498
N/A
N/A
$205,160
Settled
No
kalshi

Club Guarani

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$265,864
N/A
N/A
$92,643
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks whether Club Guarani will win a professional soccer match against Olimpia, as determined by the final result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Currently, Kalshi gives Club Guarani a 47.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 32.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the APF Division de Honor game originally scheduled for September 2, 2026. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the final result following 90 minutes plus stoppage time will determine resolution by September 3, 2026.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Olimpia vs Club Guarani professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 2, 2026, based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Olimpia win, Club Guarani win, or a tie. Each outcome has a corresponding market that resolves to 'Yes' if that specific result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The rules explicitly state that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Olimpia vs Club Guarani match market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different outcomes in this market, with updates reflecting the latest betting activity and volume of $772,595 over the past day and total volume at $846,852.

On sportsbooks, the Olimpia vs Club Guarani match market typically reflects bookmaker assessments and public betting patterns, often with adjusted margins. In contrast, prediction market odds emerge from trader sentiment and real-time position adjustments, which can diverge due to different participant motivations and risk tolerances. This market mirrors those dynamics, allowing for potentially sharper or more volatile pricing depending on how participants weigh team performance, injuries, and other match-specific factors.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading where participants submit bids and asks based on their outlook for the Olimpia vs Club Guarani match outcome. The current top outcome reflects aggregated trader expectations, with the probability indicated by the market price. Volume of $846,852 and recent activity of $772,595 help gauge liquidity and trader interest, while price shifts respond to new information affecting match prospects.

This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result aligns with the official match conclusion, and traders can expect the market to close promptly after the final whistle, reflecting the definitive game result.

Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, coaching changes, or disciplinary actions affecting either team’s lineup. Performance in preceding matches, especially against common opponents, can also reshape expectations. Weather forecasts for the match day, stadium conditions, and any last-minute tactical announcements may create short-term volatility. As Sep 3, 2026 approaches, any update that alters the perceived balance of power is likely to drive price adjustments in this market.