TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two college football teams in a specific game, focusing on how many yards they gain through receptions. The outcome depends on whether each team surpasses various yardage thresholds, providing insight into their offensive efficiency in that particular matchup.
The event evaluates whether Ole Miss or Florida achieves specified receiving yard thresholds in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a distinct yardage benchmark for one team, resolving to 'Yes' if the team meets or exceeds its designated threshold. Receiving yards from both regular and overtime periods are counted, but successful two-point conversions do not contribute. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, it proceeds as scheduled. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets are independent, with each threshold representing a separate condition for resolution.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of individual traders. Discrepancies can arise from differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. If significant differences exist between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders perceive an edge or have access to information not fully incorporated into the sportsbook odds. It’s a useful comparison for those seeking diverse perspectives on the game’s outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different yardage ranges. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of total receiving yards. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market believes is the most likely outcome. The current price of a contract indicates the probability implied by the market for that particular yardage range being exceeded. Traders can analyze the price history and volume to identify potential opportunities and refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final receiving yards total for both the Ole Miss and Florida teams, as officially recorded by the game’s governing body, will determine the result. The market will settle based on the total combined receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout, while those with contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the outcome.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries – particularly wide receivers or quarterbacks for either Ole Miss or Florida – would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions impacting the passing game like heavy rain or strong winds, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could influence trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi by informed participants could signal shifts in market perception and lead to price fluctuations.