TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will score more points in the final quarter of an upcoming college football game between Ole Miss and Florida. It focuses solely on the performance during the fourth quarter, ignoring the overall game result or any overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on which team has the higher point total in that specific segment of play.
If Florida wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ole Miss wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Florida college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an event occurring, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the potential 4th quarter winner. The current market price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome wins.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the 4th quarter winner of the Ole Miss vs Florida game will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The platform will verify the outcome and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the movement of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ole Miss or Florida teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the game's dynamics and shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during the first three quarters, including scoring drives and defensive stops, will undoubtedly influence the odds as traders react to the unfolding events. Unexpected coaching decisions or controversial calls by officials could also contribute to market volatility.