TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:35 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the final quarter of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored in that period. Outcomes depend on the point differential achieved in the fourth quarter, with various thresholds defining different market resolutions.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the 4th quarter (excluding overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Florida college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be met or exceeded by the winning team in that quarter for a 'Yes' resolution. For markets where Florida is the designated winner, resolution occurs if Florida’s 4th-quarter points exceed those of Ole Miss by more than the specified margin (e.g., 2.5, 3.5, 6.5, 7.5, or 10.5 points). Conversely, markets designating Ole Miss as the winner resolve to 'Yes' if Ole Miss outscores Florida by more than the respective threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve based on the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing or outcome beyond the specified conditions.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading on their own insights. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Comparing this market to sportsbook lines can offer a broader perspective on the likely outcome of the Ole Miss vs Florida game and potentially identify value in either market.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a market-driven price that aggregates information from a diverse range of sources and perspectives.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the fourth quarter of the Ole Miss vs Florida game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The precise payout amount is determined by the contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ole Miss or Florida teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks, could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts in this market.