TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Ole Miss or Florida in the second half of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
The markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Ole Miss vs Florida college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold: if Florida wins the second half by more than the stated margin, the corresponding 'Florida wins by X points' market resolves to Yes; conversely, if Ole Miss wins by more than the stated margin, the corresponding 'Ole Miss wins by X points' market resolves to Yes. Only points scored in the second half count toward these thresholds. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant discrepancy emerges between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the second half of the Ole Miss vs Florida game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The official result will be sourced from a reputable sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those on incorrect spreads will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 26, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ole Miss or Florida teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public perception, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media trends, could influence the collective expectations reflected in this market. Game day developments, such as early scoring drives or defensive adjustments, will also likely cause rapid price fluctuations.