TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many field goals each team makes in an upcoming college football game. Bettors can speculate on whether a team will achieve specific numbers of successful field goal attempts, adding another layer of analysis to the game's dynamics.
These markets resolve based on the total number of successful field goals made by each team during the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of made field goals for either Michigan or Oklahoma—ranging from one to three or more. Any field goals made during overtime periods count toward the final tally. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. The resolution hinges solely on the official game statistics, with no affiliation to the NCAA or its branding.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the outcome. If a significant number of people believe a certain outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total field goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on their analysis of the game, potential weather conditions, and other relevant factors. This dynamic interaction determines the overall market price and reflects the collective forecast for the Oklahoma-Michigan game.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of field goals scored in the Oklahoma vs. Michigan game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final tally, as reported by official game sources, will be used to determine which contracts payout. The market will settle to 100 for the correct number of field goals, and 0 for all other outcomes. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect totals will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Oklahoma or Michigan teams would likely cause movement, as this impacts their offensive capabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly wind conditions, could also affect the likelihood of field goal attempts. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or changes in the game plan could also play a role. Finally, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Kalshi itself can shift the price, reflecting changing market sentiment.