TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a college football game between two teams originally scheduled for a specific date. The focus is on whether the game will include any additional playing periods beyond the standard regulation time. The outcome depends solely on whether these extra periods are required during the match.
If at least 1 overtime period is played in the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of people believe overtime is likely, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise, potentially exceeding the implied probability from sportsbook odds. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of a continuously updating market compared to fixed sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing whether the Oklahoma vs Michigan game will go into overtime. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of overtime in this game.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether the Oklahoma vs Michigan game officially goes into overtime, as determined by the official game results. The final score and any official rulings regarding the game’s length will be used to verify the outcome. The market will then settle, and contract holders will receive payouts based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual result.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma or Michigan would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also influence the market, as weather can affect game strategy and scoring. Furthermore, updates on team performance, coaching decisions, or even public sentiment expressed through polls and social media could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts representing different overtime scenarios.