TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 2:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Oklahoma and Michigan during the third quarter of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of various scoring outcomes in that specific quarter.
The markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the third quarter of the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each market has a specific threshold (e.g., over 2.5, 5.5, 7.5 points, etc.), and the market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined third-quarter points exceed that threshold. Only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective wisdom of traders. This can lead to discrepancies, with prediction markets sometimes offering more accurate probabilities, especially as event time approaches. It’s common to see differences in implied probabilities, as sportsbooks may adjust lines based on public betting patterns, whereas this market is driven by individual assessments of the likely outcome of the Oklahoma vs Michigan 3rd quarter.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts representing different potential 3rd quarter totals. Traders are able to buy ‘yes’ contracts, predicting the 3rd quarter total will be above a certain number, or ‘no’ contracts, predicting it will be below. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of each outcome. As more traders participate, the price converges towards what the market deems a fair representation of the likelihood of various 3rd quarter totals.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official 3rd quarter total for the Oklahoma vs Michigan game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and will determine which contracts payout. Traders holding contracts on the correct 3rd quarter total will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect totals will not. The resolution process ensures a transparent and accurate determination of the market’s outcome, based on the actual game results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma or Michigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s offensive style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, updates on team strategies or coaching decisions might lead traders to reassess their probabilities. Even public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, can create shifts in the market as traders react to new information regarding the Oklahoma vs Michigan game.