TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points are scored in the second quarter of an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out. The outcome depends solely on the scoring during that specific quarter.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams combined during the second quarter of the designated game. Each market has a specific numerical threshold; if the combined score exceeds that threshold, the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result still applies. If the game does not start within that window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored in the second quarter count, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the NCAA.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ perspective, potentially differing from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines to balance action, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes available, as this market can incorporate more nuanced factors and real-time adjustments based on trader sentiment. This can provide a different view than traditional betting odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the Oklahoma vs Michigan 2nd quarter will be over or under a certain threshold. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. Higher prices indicate a greater belief that the outcome will occur, while lower prices suggest the opposite.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the second quarter of the Oklahoma vs Michigan game will be used to determine whether the ‘over’ or ‘under’ contracts will pay out. The official game statistics, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will serve as the definitive record for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final result and any associated payouts on Kalshi after the game concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma or Michigan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, early performance in the first quarter of the game, and any adjustments to team strategies, could lead to shifts in trader sentiment and, consequently, the price on Kalshi. General public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also play a role.