TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:03 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points Oklahoma and Michigan will score together in the first quarter of their college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the total points needed to resolve as 'Yes'.
The markets resolve based on whether the combined points scored by Oklahoma and Michigan in the first quarter of their college football game on September 12, 2026, exceed specified thresholds ranging from 2.5 to 27.5 points. Only points scored during the first quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook's line is inaccurate, the price on Kalshi will move accordingly. It is common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of trading volume occurs, as the market aggregates information from a diverse range of participants.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the total points scored in the first quarter will be over or under the specified threshold. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived probability of the event occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating in the market, and can be influenced by news, analysis, and changing expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official score of the first quarter is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the first quarter of the Oklahoma vs Michigan game will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contracts will pay out. The result will be sourced from official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma or Michigan teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for high or low scoring, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking analysis from sports analysts, or even significant shifts in public perception, could all contribute to price fluctuations in this market before the game begins.