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400,720

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2,633

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5

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Oklahoma vs. Michigan
kalshi
polymarket
predict

Oklahoma vs. Michigan

Volume:
$23,312,993

Michigan

 - Kalshi

Michigan - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 3:43 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Michigan

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,196,535
N/A
N/A
$4,301,745
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread: Michigan (-1.5)

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,786
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 25.5

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jordan Marshall: Anytime Touchdown

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
16¢
N/A
$57
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

4Q Spread -3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Michigan O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

3Q Moneyline

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
19¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Oklahoma vs. Michigan

View
1%
65%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$330
$21,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Oklahoma

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,876,177
N/A
N/A
$7,112,948
Settled
No
polymarket

Oklahoma vs. Michigan

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,437,340
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 44.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,108
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
64%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,761
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 31.5

View
0%
81%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,834
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,338
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
62%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,270
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 46.5

View
0%
42%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,838
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
0%
65%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,785
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 227

Intro

This market tracks the probability of Xavier Robinson scoring an anytime touchdown in the Oklahoma vs. Michigan college football game. Currently, the aggregated market gives Robinson a 19.0% chance of achieving this, with Parker Livingstone also at 19.0%. These probabilities are sourced from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Predict, and will be resolved based on game data reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on team injury reports leading up to September 12th, as player availability could significantly influence scoring opportunities.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Multiple spread markets exist with differing point spreads, creating SKU risk. Kalshi only offers a market on Michigan being favored by 1.5 points, while Polymarket offers both Michigan -1.5 and Oklahoma -4.5.Hero tip: Understand the specific spread being traded and its impact on the resolution criteria. A small difference in the spread can significantly alter the probability of a particular outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Offers multiple spread markets (Michigan -1.5, Oklahoma -4.5) resolving based on point differential. 'This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game by 2 or more points.' and 'This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game by 5 or more points.'
  • Kalshi: Offers only one spread market (Michigan -1.5) resolving based on win/loss. 'If Michigan wins the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Michigan, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

Resolution depends on the outcome of the Oklahoma vs Michigan college football game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. If the game is postponed from its originally scheduled date but begins within 48 hours, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is not started within 48 hours, the market will resolve to a fair market price.

Predict

In the upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Michigan, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oklahoma" if Oklahoma win the game. This market will resolve to "Michigan" if Michigan win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Oklahoma vs. Michigan matchup market aggregates data from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities, volume of $23,312,993, and 24-hour volume at $22,128,793. It offers a consensus view of how traders across platforms price this contest, letting you see where Polymarket and Kalshi stand relative to each other.

Prediction market odds on this market often shift faster than sportsbook lines because they reflect crowd-sourced sentiment and can incorporate new information instantly. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads or moneylines, prediction markets price in probabilities that can vary widely, especially with emerging narratives or key player updates affecting the game.