TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:12 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Georgia. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including any overtime periods.
The event determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Oklahoma vs Georgia college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Georgia scores first, Oklahoma scores first, or no team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the outcome, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the actual result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, the market resolves to a fair price. The event is unaffiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and to balance action, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Often, prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there’s significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can provide a useful benchmark when evaluating the potential value in this market, and discrepancies can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of them scoring the first touchdown. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team achieving this milestone.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by identifying which team scores the first touchdown in the Oklahoma vs Georgia game. The official game statistics will be used to verify the outcome, ensuring a transparent and accurate resolution process. Traders will be able to see the results reflected in their accounts shortly after the game concludes and the official scoring is finalized.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma or Georgia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also shift the odds. Pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics released closer to game time may also cause traders to adjust their positions. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can quickly move the market, reflecting shifts in collective opinion.