TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:22 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether one team will establish a significant lead in the final quarter of play during an upcoming college football matchup. The outcomes hinge exclusively on scoring dynamics in the last quarter, ignoring earlier game events or overtime periods.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the fourth quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, excluding any overtime periods. Each market specifies a different point differential threshold that must be met or exceeded by either Georgia or Oklahoma in that quarter to resolve as 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. No affiliation or endorsement exists between the platform and the NCAA, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own insights. It’s common to see initial discrepancies, especially before significant news breaks, as prediction markets can incorporate information more quickly. However, as the event approaches, the odds from both sources tend to converge, offering a fascinating comparison of different forecasting methods.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic creates a constantly updating assessment of the likely outcome, driven by the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the fourth quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The final score will determine which contracts settle at 100, and which settle at 0.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma or Georgia teams would likely cause a shift in the spread. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also influence trading activity. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategy or coaching decisions could move the market. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls and expert analysis, can also play a role, though the market’s own dynamics are the primary driver.