TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead at the end of the third quarter in an upcoming college football game between Oklahoma and Georgia. It provides a way to speculate on the in-game momentum and performance of the teams during a specific segment of play.
If Georgia wins the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Oklahoma wins the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia college football game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of informed traders, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, incorporating a margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe one team is more likely to win the 3rd quarter than sportsbooks suggest, the price for that outcome will decrease, indicating a higher implied probability. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or risk assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – Oklahoma winning the 3rd quarter or Georgia winning the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to reflect the evolving probabilities as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia game will be declared the winner of this market. The final score will be verified against official game statistics to determine which team held the lead at that point in the game. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma or Georgia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the odds. Additionally, real-time performance during the game itself – early scoring drives, turnovers, or defensive stops – will all contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their predictions for the 3rd quarter winner.