TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 6:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for either Oklahoma or Georgia specifically during the third quarter of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded by the winning team in that quarter alone.
These markets resolve based on the point differential between Oklahoma and Georgia exclusively during the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' the specified point differential threshold must be exceeded by the winning team in that quarter alone. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, the markets remain active and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward these outcomes, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA or ownership of associated trademarks and logos.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value, depending on their assessment of the situation and how it compares to the expectations embedded in sportsbook lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Oklahoma vs Georgia 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis and expectations, leading to a dynamic price discovery process. The more contracts bought for a particular spread, the higher its price becomes, indicating increased confidence in that outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the third quarter of the Oklahoma vs Georgia game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The market’s resolution is independent of any pre-game predictions or analyses.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma or Georgia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team's style of play, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first and second quarters, and any adjustments to team strategies, could shift market sentiment and lead to price fluctuations as traders react to the unfolding events. Public perception and expert analysis can also play a role.