TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market has a different threshold for the points a team must exceed for the bet to pay out. The outcomes depend solely on the official game result, with specific rules for postponements.
All markets resolve based on the official final point total scored by either Oklahoma State or West Virginia in their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. For each market, if the specified team scores more than the stated point threshold (e.g., West Virginia over 9.5 points), the market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all open markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning neither 'Yes' nor 'No' is guaranteed and the resolution depends on equitable assessment of circumstances preventing the game from being played. These rules apply uniformly across all individual point-total markets for both teams.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis from a wider range of sources than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a relatively small number of experts, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. As a result, prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than sportsbook odds, especially when there is a lot of uncertainty or complex information involved. However, sportsbook odds often offer more favorable terms due to the vig they charge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning buyers and sellers set the prices based on their expectations. Traders buy 'yes' contracts if they believe the team total will be over the listed value, and sell 'no' contracts if they believe it will be under. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating a greater likelihood. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective intelligence of the market.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals for both Oklahoma State and West Virginia are verifiable from credible public reporting. The official scores from the game will be used to determine whether the team totals exceeded or fell short of the values represented in the market. The resolution will be based on the official statistics published by the governing body of college football, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma State or West Virginia would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also shift the market. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or media coverage, could lead to increased trading activity and price adjustments. Finally, early game performance, even in the first quarter, can cause rapid movement as traders react to unfolding events.