TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 10:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various thresholds of points scored in the final quarter of a college football matchup, allowing participants to assess the likelihood of different scoring levels in the game's closing moments. The resolution depends solely on the combined points tallied by both teams during the fourth quarter, excluding any overtime periods.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total points scored by both teams combined in the fourth quarter of the specified college football game, excluding overtime. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the collective points exceed the stated amount. All markets consider only points scored during regulation fourth-quarter play. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain active and resolve based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific threshold they selected.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information and insights that differ from traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by analysts aiming to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If sportsbook odds suggest a strong likelihood of a particular outcome, this market may show a different probability based on factors not fully captured by sportsbook models. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers set the price of contracts. The price represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, whether the total points scored in the 4th quarter of the Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia game will be over 12.5. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can buy ‘yes’ contracts if they believe the total will exceed 12.5, or sell ‘no’ contracts if they think it will fall short. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the evolving expectations of participants.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total scored in the 4th quarter of the Oklahoma State vs. West Virginia game will be used to determine whether the total exceeds 12.5 points. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the result. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts settled based on the final outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Oklahoma State or West Virginia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, in-game performance during the first three quarters – such as a dominant offensive showing by one team – could lead to adjustments in the perceived probability of exceeding 12.5 points in the 4th quarter.