TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between Oklahoma State and West Virginia specifically during the third quarter of their scheduled college football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that single quarter, ignoring the rest of the match.
The event resolves based on the point differential between Oklahoma State and West Virginia exclusively in the third quarter of their college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific threshold of points by which either team must win that quarter to resolve as 'Yes'. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward the outcome. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. The markets cover a range of winning margins from over 2.5 points up to over 10.5 points, for both possible winners, allowing participants to bet on varying levels of dominance in that specific quarter.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. Initial sportsbook odds may be more influenced by public perception and team reputations, whereas this market can adjust rapidly as new information emerges. It's common to see this market converge towards the 'true' probability as the event approaches, potentially offering a different valuation than traditional sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the third quarter of the Oklahoma St. vs West Virginia game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders will be able to see the final result and any payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma St. or West Virginia teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the game’s playing conditions, could also shift the spread. Furthermore, any updates on team strategies or coaching decisions leading up to the game could influence trader sentiment and impact the price. Unexpected betting patterns or large volume trades on Kalshi could also signal shifts in market expectations.