TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 6:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the third quarter of a college football game between Oklahoma State and Tulsa. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory for either team during that quarter, allowing participants to bet on how decisively one team might lead at that specific point in the game.
These markets resolve based on the point differential specifically in the third quarter of the Oklahoma St. vs Tulsa college football game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the third quarter by more than the designated point margin—ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points for both teams. Only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, the markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides and ensure profitability, while this market represents the aggregated predictions of many individuals. If there’s a significant discrepancy, it might indicate that market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook odds as new information becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the third quarter spread. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that spread occurring. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the market is constantly updating and responding to new information, offering a real-time assessment of the likely outcome. The current price reflects the collective judgment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final third quarter spread of the Oklahoma State vs Tulsa game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports body. The contract representing the correct spread will pay out $1.00, while contracts on incorrect spreads will be worth $0.00. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 5, 2026. News regarding key player injuries for either Oklahoma State or Tulsa would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring one team’s style of play, could also shift the market. Game-day updates, such as starting quarterback confirmations or reports of unusual team preparations, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements from team coaches or analysts could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.