TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 7:18 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Oklahoma State or Tulsa in the second half of their college football matchup. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the bet to pay out.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of play, excluding any overtime periods. If Oklahoma State wins the second half by more than the specified point margin listed in the market, that market resolves to Yes for Oklahoma State spreads. Conversely, if Tulsa wins the second half by more than the specified margin, the market resolves to Yes for Tulsa spreads. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve at a fair price, taking into account all known information up to that point. No overtime points factor into any resolution calculations.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s price is driven purely by supply and demand from traders expressing their beliefs about the game’s outcome. If a significant number of traders believe the spread is mispriced by sportsbooks, the price here will move accordingly. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. Examining these differences can be insightful for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders buy and sell contracts at prices they deem fair. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the participants. The current price reflects the aggregated expectations of all traders on Kalshi regarding the second-half spread.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread in the second half of the Oklahoma State versus Tulsa game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the correct spread will settle at 100, while those predicting an incorrect spread will settle at 0. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be the basis for settlement and payout of all contracts in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Oklahoma State or Tulsa teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they are expected to impact the game's style of play, could also affect trading activity. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in public perception, fueled by media coverage or expert analysis, could also drive price fluctuations. Finally, large-volume trades by individual participants on Kalshi can create short-term volatility and influence the overall market price.