TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 10:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the Oklahoma City Pro Basketball team will face specific opponents on Christmas Day during the 2026-27 regular season. The outcome depends on the official schedule release, focusing exclusively on games occurring on December 25, 2026.
The event determines if the Oklahoma City Pro Basketball team is scheduled to play any game on Christmas Day (December 25, 2026) during the 2026-27 regular season, with separate markets for each possible opponent including a market for the scenario where the team does not play at all on that day. Resolution is based on the official schedule announcements from designated source agencies, and only games occurring precisely on Christmas Day count—games on Christmas Eve are excluded. Each market corresponding to a specific opponent resolves to 'Yes' if the team is scheduled to face that opponent on the specified date; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The 'Not scheduled to play on Christmas' market resolves to 'Yes' only if the team has no games scheduled for that day against any opponent. The governing league's schedule determinations are the sole basis for resolution, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through continuous bidding and asking, with the current top outcome reflecting the highest probability as assessed by market participants. The implied chance of each team appearing as Oklahoma City’s Christmas Day opponent is determined by the price of its contract, updated instantly with each trade.
This market resolves around Dec 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official NBA schedule for Oklahoma City’s Christmas Day game is verified against credible public sources. The opponent listed for that specific game date will determine the final settlement of all contracts.
Key signals that could shift this market include major player injuries, trade deadline moves affecting team strength, coaching changes, and early-season performance trends. Any development that leads analysts or traders to re-evaluate a team's likelihood of facing Oklahoma City on Christmas Day may cause rapid price adjustments before the market closes.