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Closed: May 29, 12:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market on Kalshi tracks whether Victor Wembanyama will record at least 3 steals in the Oklahoma City versus San Antonio matchup. The leading outcome, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recording 1 or more steals, stands at 78.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by official NBA statistics following the game originally scheduled for May 28, 2026. Watch Wembanyama's defensive intensity and positioning during the May 28, 2026 contest, as his activity level and the Spurs' overall defensive scheme will be critical signals for this outcome.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, shortly after the game concludes. Resolution is determined by official final statistics for steals recorded in the matchup. Each contract outcome—whether tied to a specific player's steal total or a team aggregate—settles based on verified box-score data. Once the game ends and official stats are published, the market automatically resolves contracts to their final values, paying out traders who correctly predicted the steal thresholds.
Key catalysts include injury announcements affecting defensive starters, lineup rotations, and recent defensive performance trends for both teams. Player rest decisions, foul trouble patterns, and opponent pace of play all influence steal probability. Analyst commentary on defensive matchups and any last-minute roster changes can shift trader positioning significantly. Additionally, historical head-to-head steals data and each team's season-long defensive efficiency metrics serve as reference points traders monitor leading up to tipoff.