TOTAL VOLUME:

$116.8b

24H VOL:

$74,316,137

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,362,287,844

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,155,356,965

338,521

Markets across

33,297

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,228

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

42%

VS.

Kalshi:

58%

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 28, 2026?

Oil Price (WTI) on Aug 28, 2026?

Aug 21, 2026, 7:30 PM EST - Aug 28, 2026, 2:30 PM EST
Total volume:
$110,545
Volume 24h:
$20,741
26%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$81,568
11%

$80.00 to $80.99

 - Kalshi

$80.00 to $80.99 - Kalshi

20%

+17%

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Aug 22

Aug 23

Aug 24

Aug 25

Aug 25

Aug 26

Aug 27

Vol.

$4.5k

·

Resolves Aug 28, 2026

Time left: 01d:10h:41m

Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 80.00 and 80.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026?

17%chance
Amount

$

You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
MUI X License key version mismatch
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

The future price of WTI crude oil is influenced by global supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical events, and market speculation. Predicting where it will fall within a specific range on a particular date involves assessing these factors and how they might interact over the coming years.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the daily settlement price of the WTI crude oil October 2026 contract on August 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, with one market resolving to Yes if the price falls within its designated range. Prices are rounded to the nearest two decimal places. If data for the specified date is unavailable, the most recent published data is used to determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

Compared to traditional analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more immediate, crowd-sourced view of expectations. Analysts may incorporate fundamental data, supply forecasts, and geopolitical factors, while traders on Kalshi price in real-time sentiment and short-term risk. Differences between the two can highlight where market participants diverge from established forecasts, offering a complementary perspective on future oil price directions.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders continuously submit bids and asks that determine the market price. The top outcome’s chance is represented by a probability derived from these orders, shown as 17.0%. Volume of $110,545 supports the market’s liquidity, and any shifts in supply or demand from news or macro trends directly influence pricing. This dynamic mechanism lets participants express their views on where WTI prices will land by Aug 28, 2026.

This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will reflect the actual WTI oil price as recorded on that date, closing all positions based on the confirmed result. Traders should monitor reputable sources for official price data close to the resolution window to anticipate any last-minute shifts.

Several signals could influence this market before it settles. Key events include OPEC+ production decisions, unexpected supply disruptions, shifts in global demand from economic changes, and energy policy announcements. Additionally, geopolitical tensions or weather-related impacts on major oil-producing regions may cause rapid price swings. Traders on Kalshi will react to news flow, so staying informed on commodity news and macro indicators is essential for timing entries and managing risk.