TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 2:47 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will lead after the third quarter of a college football matchup between Ohio and Nebraska. It provides a way to speculate on the in-game momentum and performance of each team during a specific segment of the contest.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points in the third quarter of the Ohio vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. If Nebraska scores more points in that quarter, the 'Nebraska wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Ohio scores more points, the 'Ohio wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides, whereas this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and beliefs. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of information available to each group, or simply due to differing opinions. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially diverging from sportsbook odds before converging as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability of that outcome occurring; a higher price indicates a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The market depth – the number of contracts available at different price points – also provides insight into the strength of conviction behind each outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the 3rd quarter of the Ohio vs Nebraska game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. The result will be determined based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Ohio or Nebraska would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they impact the style of play favored by either team, could also move the market. Furthermore, in-game performance during the first half, even if not directly impacting the 3rd quarter, can influence trader sentiment and lead to adjustments in contract prices. Public betting patterns and expert analysis released before and during the game could also contribute to volatility in this market.