TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 12:47 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how decisively either team wins the first quarter of an upcoming college football game. They focus solely on the point differential within the first 15 minutes of play, ignoring the rest of the match outcome.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the first quarter of the Ohio vs Nebraska college football game scheduled for September 5, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that Nebraska or Ohio must exceed for a 'Yes' resolution. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the official first-quarter result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets settle at a fair price, reflecting the uncertainty created by the delay. The markets are strictly confined to first-quarter performance, with no consideration given to subsequent quarters or the overall game outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the predictions of many individuals. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it might suggest that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the Ohio-Nebraska football game. The current price indicates what traders collectively believe is the likelihood of each possible spread.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the actual point spread achieved in the first quarter of the Ohio versus Nebraska football game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The market will settle based on the official result reported by a trusted sports data source, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Ohio or Nebraska would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, especially if they suggest adverse playing conditions, could also impact the spread. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift market sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.