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506,007

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Ohio State vs. Iowa
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Ohio State vs. Iowa?

Volume:
$10,467,346

Ohio St.

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 5, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 6:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ohio St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,101,200
N/A
N/A
$1,515,996
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ohio State vs. Iowa

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$642,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$752,887
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$78,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$12,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10,092
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
39%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$4,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -15.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,879
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -9.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -11.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,271
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1H Spread -7.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,937
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
18%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,517
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -12.5

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,005
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
34%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -8.5

View
100%
36%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$309
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
26%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q Spread -3.5

View
100%
32%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$183
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$81
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ohio State O/U 29.5

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$79
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q O/U 13.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$54
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1Q O/U 10.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$51
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 230

Intro

This market tracks the total number of 4th down conversions—over or under 0.5—in the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Iowa. Currently, the consensus probability that Ohio State vs. Iowa: Total 4th Down Conversions will be Over 0.5 is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution determined by data reported on https://www.ncaa.com/. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 3rd, as the final 4th down conversion count will determine the outcome of this market.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Multiple spread markets on Polymarket create SKU risk, while Kalshi offers a simplified 'game completion' market.Hero tip: Focus on the specific spread market on Polymarket and understand the margin of victory required for resolution. The Kalshi market is a simpler bet on the game occurring.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Numerous spread markets exist, each resolving to 'Ohio State' if they win by a specified margin (e.g., 21+ points for -20.5 spread) and to 'Iowa' otherwise. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Ohio State or Iowa wins the game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled, it resolves 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Ohio State and Iowa, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ohio State" if Ohio State win the game. This market will resolve to "Iowa" if Iowa win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on team statistics and expert analysis, the collective predictions within this market can incorporate a broader range of factors and real-time insights. It’s worth comparing both to gain a more comprehensive understanding.

On Polymarket, traders set the odds by directly bidding on the probability of different outcomes, while Kalshi uses a different mechanism. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. This difference in market mechanics can lead to price discrepancies. Additionally, each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Finally, differing liquidity and the specific incentives offered on each platform can influence how traders value potential outcomes in the Ohio State-Iowa football game.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before the game concludes. Key player injuries on either the Ohio State or Iowa teams would likely cause shifts in probabilities. Unexpected weather forecasts, particularly those predicting adverse conditions, could also influence trading activity. Major news regarding team morale, coaching changes, or significant strategic adjustments could also move the market. Finally, public perception and any late-breaking information released through reputable sports news outlets could all contribute to changes in the odds for the Ohio State-Iowa football game.