TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Volume:
$7,279,744
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Ohio State Buckeyes and Virginia Cavaliers scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets include moneyline (winner), multiple point spread variations, and total points over/under at different thresholds.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Ohio State win and Virginia win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making it impossible to distinguish a winning outcome from a losing one.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline. The market structure is unresolvable as written. All Polymarket moneyline, spread, and total markets are logically sound and consistent. Spread and total markets across both platforms use identical thresholds and edge-case handling, so those are safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline market resolves to Yes for both Ohio State victory and Virginia victory. This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can resolve to No. Quote: 'If Ohio St. wins the Virginia at Ohio St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Virginia wins the Virginia at Ohio St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline market resolves to 'Ohio State Buckeyes' if Ohio State wins or 'Virginia Cavaliers' if Virginia wins. This is logically coherent and standard. Quote: 'If the Ohio State Buckeyes win, the market will resolve to Ohio State Buckeyes. If the Virginia Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to Virginia Cavaliers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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