TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Ohio State Buckeyes and Penn State Nittany Lions scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and combined scoring totals across multiple prediction platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Penn State win or Ohio State win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Additionally, Polymarket offers two distinct Over/Under markets with different thresholds (152.5 and 153.5), creating settlement fragmentation.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline - the resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. For moneyline exposure, use only Polymarket which correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes. If trading both Over/Under lines on Polymarket, be aware that a final score of exactly 153 points will resolve differently across the two markets (Under on 153.5 line, Over on 152.5 line).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states both Penn State victory and Ohio State victory each resolve to Yes, creating logical impossibility. No mutually exclusive outcome structure. Quote: 'If Penn St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Ohio St. wins... then the market resolves to Yes'Polymarket:
Moneyline correctly specifies mutually exclusive outcomes: resolves to Ohio State Buckeyes name if Ohio State wins, or Penn State Nittany Lions name if Penn State wins. Two separate Over/Under markets with thresholds at 153.5 (154+ = Over) and 152.5 (153+ = Over). Spread markets at -7.5 and -6.5 with corresponding win-margin thresholds.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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