TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks how many points each team scores in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold for a team, determining whether they exceed that mark. The outcomes reflect the game's offensive performance from both sides.
All markets resolve based on the official final point totals for each team in the Ohio St. vs Texas college football game scheduled for Sep 12, 2026. For any market, if the specified team scores more than the stated threshold (e.g., Texas over 9.5 points), that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds listed.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts leading up to the game. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts that pay out $1 if the outcome they represent occurs. The price of a contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome. As more traders participate, the price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by individual traders’ beliefs about the Ohio State vs Texas game and their willingness to take the other side of a bet. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the Ohio State vs Texas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the officially recorded scores from the game, as reported by a recognized sports data source. The contracts will then pay out based on whether the total points scored by each team were above or below the threshold defined by the contract price at the time of resolution. Traders will receive their payouts shortly after the official results are available.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ohio State or Texas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is predicted, could also impact expectations about scoring. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could shift trader sentiment. Even public polling data or expert analysis predicting a higher or lower scoring game could contribute to price fluctuations as traders react to new information.